Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 23.437227 27.743282 33.088762 40.390761 50.411165 64.192143 8.562044e+01
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 18.703507 23.659905 30.521250 41.260520 58.867897 89.490599 1.563284e+02
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 15.478276 20.313696 27.438547 39.561048 61.955637 108.503416 2.475740e+02
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 13.651110 18.445742 25.876895 39.450171 67.399994 136.969113 4.446370e+02
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 11.944240 16.427065 23.594780 37.293518 67.642054 153.946137 7.029995e+02
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 10.488014 14.584042 21.263047 34.405795 64.980317 160.609545 9.973466e+02
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 9.403109 13.200188 19.498146 32.214729 63.139592 169.111271 1.519053e+03
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 9.593457 13.890057 21.429304 38.055336 85.555017 323.635107 4.519024e+06
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 9.315350 13.749692 21.814075 40.671005 101.179774 526.936020 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 8.564921 12.708239 20.317537 38.404657 98.451020 571.827140 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.285755 12.471909 20.371530 40.039559 112.196976 949.361699 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 7.867563 11.943741 19.761880 39.787248 118.128296 1350.335929 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 7.466649 11.441630 19.204000 39.732277 126.328197 2248.200591 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 7.166145 11.100765 18.947421 40.505192 140.462028 5515.408861 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.724858 10.457240 17.956517 38.846332 139.214150 8327.548021 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.433061 10.076202 17.500828 38.738034 148.222838 32651.668765 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 6.039213 9.471491 16.484119 36.638769 141.902317 45812.167468 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 5.628810 8.813357 15.298845 33.825389 128.995878 25899.121616 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 5.289623 8.277832 14.357059 31.688726 120.245622 21170.932872 NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 5.454902 8.731842 15.704643 37.380484 179.801061 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.408432 8.761891 16.072036 39.925632 223.705277 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 5.130957 8.306899 15.220854 37.720520 209.461598 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 5.051753 8.252008 15.346504 39.311421 248.224071 NaN NaN